Quantitative modelling for post EU Exit trade deals (UK Agricultural industry)

Tender description

The aim of this procurement is to provide AHDB with impact assessment analysis that will quantify, assess and analyse the impact of a UK/US trade deal and future trade deals. Huge uncertainty hangs over the industry while the UK negotiates its departure from the EU, the most immediate and pressing challenge being to determine what relationship might be entered into in terms of access to the EU single market. In terms of output objectives, the impact on trade flows and prices of each trade deal are key. The potential impact on the structure of the UK industry is desirable but not essential. We wish to understand the potential impact of these for each of the 6 sectors AHDB currently covers: These comprise Cereals & Oilseeds, Potatoes, Horticulture, Dairy, Beef & Lamb and Pork, although this may change over the course of the contract.